ASTR 1210 (O'Connell) Study Guide 18


Poster from a 1957 movie featuring all the earmarks of the classic invasion
drama: flying saucers, death rays, and big-headed, bug-eyed aliens
with triangular faces and a penchant for scantily-clad women.

Because it fixes the ultimate scope of the human universe by exploring the largest scales of space and time, astronomy has always had a strong hold on the imagination. Inevitably, discoveries about stars and planets raise questions about life on other worlds.

Speculation about inhabitants of other planets goes almost as far back in history as there are written records, but it was given new impetus after 1550 by the enormous Copernican/Galilean universe, which was potentially infinite in extent and possibly filled with planets like the Earth. This idea was championed by early post-Copernican writers like Thomas Digges and Giordano Bruno.

Until the end of the 19th century, aliens were usually imagined to be enlightened and benevolent creatures. Since then, the popular concept of aliens has darkened considerably. As the movie poster above vividly testifies, they are now typically viewed as menacing (the Steven Spielberg cutie-pie creations in "ET" and "Close Encounters of the Third Kind" notwithstanding).

The change can be traced to a single novel, stimulated in turn by astronomers' studies of the planet Mars. This lecture discusses the novel and one of its main legacies: a remarkably widespread form of mild mass hysteria, the "UFO" phenomenon. "UFO's" lead us to return to the subject of the standards of scientific evidence and interpretation of observations.


Martians rule the British Navy in "War of the Worlds"

A. The War of the Worlds

Claims of some astronomers (1875+) to have detected Martian "canals" and Percival Lowell's widely circulated arguments that these were artificial and were built by civilizations on Mars provoked intense public interest in the possibility of extraterrestrial life.

Intrigued by the notion of life on Mars, the English writer H.G. Wells wrote the novel The War of the Worlds (1898)

Legacy


Intrepid junior scientist David notices something's wrong in the backyard in this comic-book promo for the film "Invaders from Mars," a classic 1950's paranoid fantasy in which his parents and most other adults are taken over by the invaders, except for a dashing astronomer and a beautiful doctor, who help David save the world---or do they?

B. UFO'S and the Limits of Science

Another lasting legacy of Lowell, Wells, and a vast amount of speculation by others is the "UFO" controversy. What started as a legitimate (if mistaken) interpretation of astronomical observations and a brilliant piece of fiction has become a worldwide mini-industry, with a multitude of committed believers and its own media and interest groups, not to mention millions of web sites. It is based on the belief that the Earth is under continuous surveillance by alien spacecraft and that there is a government conspiracy to cover this up.

"UFO" is an abbreviation for "Unidentified Flying Object"

UFO reports

Who reports UFO's?

UFO reports have many historical precedents.

The modern era of UFO's began in June 1947 with widespread media coverage of a report that civilian pilot Kenneth Arnold (at right) had seen a formation of "saucer-like" aircraft flying at speeds over 1000 mph near Mt. Rainier.

Anomalistic phenomena

UFO's are an example of an anomalistic phenomenon: something apparently inconsistent with the prevailing scientific consensus but only marginally documented.

Where do anomalistic phenomena fit into the scientific context? And under what circumstances should we accept them as expanding the boundaries or limits of conventional or mainstream science? Consider mainstream science first:

Varieties of pseudo-science

In contrast to the subjects of mainstream science, "anomalistic" phenomena are not even established as real. There is insufficient objective, controlled evidence to show that the claimed phenomena even exist, let alone imply something beyond the capacity of normal science to explain.

The role of credulity

The widespread interest of the public in anomalistic phenomena is fueled by human credulity: the proclivity to believe things in the absence of good evidence because they appeal to personal prejudices.

Scientific standards

How should UFO reports be interpreted in a scientific context? How much credence should be given to the extraterrestrial hypothesis?

Scientific assessment of UFO reports

The bottom line is that in 70 years, there has not been a single UFO case meeting the conventional standards for scientific validation, let alone the higher ones needed to accept an extraterrestrial interpretation.

Conclusions:



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Last modified June 2017 by rwo

Artwork here is from War of the Worlds, The Musical and original film posters & promo material. Scan of the cover of the 1993 edition of WoW from Dr. Zeus. Text copyright © 1998-2017 Robert W. O'Connell. All rights reserved. These notes are intended for the private, noncommercial use of students enrolled in Astronomy 1210 at the University of Virginia.