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Emerging
Markets Finance
Spring First Half 2002
Course
Outline
Session
1, January 17
Topic: Emerging markets and finance
Case:
Gerber
Products Company: Investing in the New Poland,
HBS #793-069
Module
1. Risk identification, assessment and mitigation
Session
2, January 18
Topic:
Political risks
Case:
Busang (A): The River of Gold,
HBS #798-002
Recommended (optional) reading: Permissible Country Equity
Investment Analysis and Recommendations. Wilshire Associates,
1997.
Session
3, January 24
Topic:
Project vs corporate finance
Case:
The
Chad-Cameroon Petroleum Development and Pipeline Project (A),
HBS #202-032.
Project
Financing: An Economic Overview,
UVA-F-1035.
Session
4, January 25
Topic:
Project finance and the process of risk management.
Case:
Poland’s
A2 Motorway, HBS #202-030.
Module
2. Incorporating country risk in valuation
Session
5, January 30
Topic:
Valuation challenge in emerging markets
Case: Hostile Bid for Red October, HBS #296-084.
Session
6, January 31
Topic:
Incorporating country risk in valuation
Read:
Lessard,
Donald R., 1996, “Incorporating Country Risk in the Valuation of
Offshore Projects,” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 9
(Fall), pp. 52-63.
Godfrey,
Stephen and Ramon Espinosa, 1996, “A Practical Approach to Calculating
Costs of Equity for Investments in Emerging Markets,” Journal of
Applied Corporate Finance, 9 (Fall), pp. 80-89.
Session
7, February 6
Topic:
Joint venture and cross-border valuation
Case:
Continental Cablevision/Fintelco Joint Venture,
UVA-F-1149
Session
8, February 7
Topic:
Estimating the cost of capital
Case:
Paginas
Amarelas,
UVA-F-1210
Session
9, February 13
Distinguished Speaker,
Jack Perkowski, CEO and President, Asian Strategic Investment
Corporation (ASIMCO).
Session
10, February 14
Guest
Speaker, Jack Perkowski
Case:
ASIMCO/Nanyue
Joint Venture,
New Darden Case (to be distributed)
Module
3. Downside risk approach in valuation
Session
11, February 20
Topic:
Emerging financial markets
Case:
Chinese
Financial Markets,
New Darden Case (to be distributed)
Session
12, February 21
Topic:
Downside risk framework in valuation
Read:
Javier
Estrada, 2000, “The Cost of Equity in Emerging Markets: A Downside
Risk Approach,” Emerging Markets Quarterly
Javier
Estrada, 2001, “The Cost of Equity in Emerging Markets: A Downside
Risk Approach (II),” Emerging Markets Quarterly
Session
13, February 22
Topic:
M&A and privatization
Case:
Structuring Repsol’s Acquisition of YPF S.A.,
UVA-F-1282
Module
4. Real options
Session
14, February 27
Topic:
Capital projects as real options
Capital
Projects as Real Options: An Introduction,
HBS #295-074.
Brealey
and Myers, Principles of Corporate Finance, Chapter 21, Real
Options.
Session
15, February 28
Topic: Identifying and valuing real options in
emerging markets
Case:
Dragon Beer,
New Darden Case (to be distributed). |