Syllabus in PDF
Course Outline
Class Sessions:
Module 1. Risk identification, assessment and management

Module 2. Incorporating Country risk in valuation

  • January 31, Session 6

  • February 6, Session 7
  • February 7, Session 8
  • February 13, Session 9
  • February 14, Session 10
Module 3. Downside Risk Approach in Valuation
  • February 20, Session 11
  • February 21, Session 12
  • February 22, Session 13
Module 4. Real Options
  • February 27, Session 14
  • February 28, Session 15

Emerging Markets Finance

Spring First Half 2002

Course Outline

Session 1, January 17

Topic: Emerging markets and finance

Case: Gerber Products Company: Investing in the New Poland, HBS #793-069

 

Module 1.  Risk identification, assessment and mitigation

Session 2, January 18

Topic: Political risks

Case: Busang (A): The River of Gold, HBS #798-002

 Recommended (optional) reading: Permissible Country Equity Investment Analysis and Recommendations.  Wilshire Associates, 1997.

Session 3, January 24

Topic: Project vs corporate finance

Case: The Chad-Cameroon Petroleum Development and Pipeline Project (A), HBS #202-032.

Project Financing: An Economic Overview, UVA-F-1035.

Session 4, January 25

Topic: Project finance and the process of risk management.

Case: Poland’s A2 Motorway, HBS #202-030.

 

Module 2.  Incorporating country risk in valuation

Session 5, January 30

Topic: Valuation challenge in emerging markets

Case: Hostile Bid for Red October, HBS #296-084.

Session 6, January 31

Topic: Incorporating country risk in valuation

Read:

Lessard, Donald R., 1996, “Incorporating Country Risk in the Valuation of Offshore Projects,” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 9 (Fall), pp. 52-63.

Godfrey, Stephen and Ramon Espinosa, 1996, “A Practical Approach to Calculating Costs of Equity for Investments in Emerging Markets,” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 9 (Fall), pp. 80-89.

Session 7, February 6

Topic:  Joint venture and cross-border valuation

Case: Continental Cablevision/Fintelco Joint Venture, UVA-F-1149

Session 8, February 7

Topic: Estimating the cost of capital

Case: Paginas Amarelas, UVA-F-1210 

 

Session 9, February 13

Distinguished Speaker, Jack Perkowski, CEO and President, Asian Strategic Investment Corporation (ASIMCO). 

Session 10, February 14

Guest Speaker, Jack Perkowski

Case: ASIMCO/Nanyue Joint Venture, New Darden Case (to be distributed)

 

Module 3.  Downside risk approach in valuation

Session 11, February 20

Topic: Emerging financial markets

Case: Chinese Financial Markets, New Darden Case (to be distributed)

Session 12, February 21

Topic: Downside risk framework in valuation

Read:

Javier Estrada, 2000, “The Cost of Equity in Emerging Markets: A Downside Risk Approach,” Emerging Markets Quarterly

Javier Estrada, 2001, “The Cost of Equity in Emerging Markets: A Downside Risk Approach (II),” Emerging Markets Quarterly

Session 13, February 22

Topic: M&A and privatization

Case: Structuring Repsol’s Acquisition of YPF S.A., UVA-F-1282

 

Module 4.  Real options

Session 14, February 27

Topic: Capital projects as real options

Capital Projects as Real Options: An Introduction, HBS #295-074.

Brealey and Myers, Principles of Corporate Finance, Chapter 21, Real Options.

Session 15, February 28

Topic: Identifying and valuing real options in emerging markets

Case: Dragon Beer, New Darden Case (to be distributed).